Eurofed
Banned
One scenario which I find quite interesting and which saw some recent discussion sees the partecipation of Austria in the Franco-Prussian War. This inevitably makes it expand in a Prussia-Italy-Russia vs. France-Austria general war (Russia does so because of existing secret Russo-Prussian alliance accords for such a contingency), which all but surely would cause a defeat of France even worse than OTL and the collapse and partition of the Habsburg empire between Germany, Italy, Russia, and an independent Hungary. See the linked threads for an extensive discussion of how and why this scenario may come into being.
It would also in all likelihood cause the swift formation of a German-Italian-Hungarian Central Powers/Triple Alliance block that, differently from the OTL version, would be very stable, since the Austro-Italian antagonism is gone and the interests of the three partners are complementary. France, in all likelihood is going to have a foreign policy quite similar to OTL, except that ITTL it expands its revanchist enmity to the German-Italian bloc.
Short of very unlikely butterflies, these two poles of the European alliance system are all but made fixed by the initial events of the scenario. The really interesting and seemingly open-ended geopolitical issue is how the other European great powers, Britain and Russia, would align in the alliance system of this scenario.
For simplicity, we may assume that in all likelihood the United States shall keep their isolationist attitude and the Ottomans shall ally with the side opposite to Russia, although of course things might go differently.
Which alliance system do you see as most likely to emerge ?
It would also in all likelihood cause the swift formation of a German-Italian-Hungarian Central Powers/Triple Alliance block that, differently from the OTL version, would be very stable, since the Austro-Italian antagonism is gone and the interests of the three partners are complementary. France, in all likelihood is going to have a foreign policy quite similar to OTL, except that ITTL it expands its revanchist enmity to the German-Italian bloc.
Short of very unlikely butterflies, these two poles of the European alliance system are all but made fixed by the initial events of the scenario. The really interesting and seemingly open-ended geopolitical issue is how the other European great powers, Britain and Russia, would align in the alliance system of this scenario.
For simplicity, we may assume that in all likelihood the United States shall keep their isolationist attitude and the Ottomans shall ally with the side opposite to Russia, although of course things might go differently.
Which alliance system do you see as most likely to emerge ?